The trend is your friend.
We have heard this old adage many times, yet
traders always forget this simple principle. Why? Simply because they expect
to see a fast-moving, notable trend, which, in reality, rarely appears on charts.
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Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
Knowing that trends transform into trading ranges at some point, smart
traders often go with a trend while it is
still active
.
There is no way to predict exactly how long a trend will persist (otherwise,
you would become a millionaire very quickly), but a trader still has better
odds of success sticking to trends than trying to catch tops/bottoms in an
attempt to find a reversal.
1.41605
1.39055
1.36505
1.33955
1.31330
1.28780
1.26230
1.23605
1.21055
1.22869
1.18505
First, take a look at the 200-day moving average. If the price is consistently
positioned at one side of the moving average, there is probably a trending
component. At this point, it is common for traders to align trades with it.
However, do bear in mind that past performances of an asset is not a reliable
indicator of future results.
How do you know that the trend is there?
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Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
This brings us to the next question. Should one be a long term trader if
he/she has a trend-based directional bias? Not at all! One can still trade
during the day, keeping in mind the fact that current day’s price movements
gravitate toward the direction of a trend, and from there, one can build the
trades accordingly.
Below is an example of how traders can align intraday trades with a
trend (GBPUSD):
Morning Trade (Profit)
Morning Trade (Breakeven)
Stop-loss
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Employ trends in decision-making processes. It is a very natural way to build
valid forecasts and achieve positive trading results. Find instruments with
charts located on one side of the 200-day moving average for a period of
more than three months—see what happens if you solely trade in the
direction of the trend. Again, bear in mind that past performances of an
asset is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Key Takeaway
Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
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Chapter 04
Time matters—work within
a stipulated time period
Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
For those trading in Europe, the London session opening is the most important
period (07:00 to 08:00 GMT). Major economic releases for the Eurozone and
Great Britain are published around this period.
Time matters—work within
a stipulated time period
If you are a day trader, the time at which you trade matters—you may
achieve more if you trade in a fast-moving market with high buyer/seller
participation.
For example, the opening of the Asian session may influence AUDUSD,
USDJPY, and NZDUSD, but it may not be significant since most currencies
are quoted against the US dollar. The most volatile period is therefore
during the US session opening (14:00 to 15:00 GMT), when most important
economic statistics, FED speeches, and other key drivers are released.
The market also tends to be choppy and rotational just before the closing
of the European session and prior to US session opening. If you are opening
a position between 11:00 and 12:00 GMT, be prepared for minimal or slow
price movement. Many traders observe a fast, manipulative move to capture
stop loss right before the US session opening.
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Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
Below is an example of how volatility is distributed throughout the day:
European session opening
US session opening
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For efficient day trading, split the hours to suit the time of the sessions as
well as market volatility.
Trading logs are good reference materials to help one trace the active hours
that contributed to positive trading results. Should trading performance be
found to be directly influenced by market hours, aligning trading activities to
the hours that led to positive trading results alone may improve the overall
trading performance.
There is no hard and fast rule in trading as every individual has varying risk
appetite. When designing your trading strategy, do bear in mind that the
market can be rotational and manipulative during less volatile hours, while
trading during volatile periods may lead to greater losses should the market
not go your way.
Key Takeaway
Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
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Chapter 05
Think in terms of areas instead of levels
Forex tips and tricks: 10 ways to improve your trading strategy
How does one avoid the misconception surrounding support and resistance
and effectively use these reference points? Below are key principles to bear
in mind.
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