9
crobriefing on Power Blackout Risks
3.2.2. wHat are tHe causes of blackouts?
Typically power blackouts are not caused by a single event but by a combination of several deficiencies. There is
no outage known where a faultless grid collapsed completely due to a single cause. The following preconditions
are the basis for a high power outage risk:
•
High grid utilisation
or high power demand
•
High power plant utilisation
•
Defects due to material ageing
If the following events occur in combination with the above mentioned conditions there
is a very high likelihood
for a power blackout to occur:
•
Power plant shutdown for revision or due to supply failures (e.g. cooling water shortage during heat waves)
•
Unforeseen simultaneous interruptions of several power plants
•
Human failure during maintenance work or switching operations
•
Simultaneous grid interruption e.g. short circuit caused by tree contact, excavation work, balloons drifting into
power lines, cars hitting utility poles, provisional shutdown due to electrical overloading risk
•
Sudden simultaneous high power demand, e.g. simultaneous usage of air conditions during hot summers
•
Power line collapse or electrical equipment breakdown due to natural hazards (e.g. wind,
earthquake, snow
or ice load, flood, lightning,
space weather, extreme temperatures)
•
Insufficient communication between transmission/distribution system operators (TSO/DSO) and power suppliers
•
Cyber attacks
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