Azerbaijan state university of economics unec business school master of business admiNİstration (mba) Faculty: Economics of tourism Subject: Statistics for Business and Economics Project: Statistical analysis of deaths from covid-19 coronavirus pandemic


Global excess and reported COVID-19 deaths and death rates per 100,000 population according to the WHO study



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Statistical analysis of deaths from COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic

Global excess and reported COVID-19 deaths and death rates per 100,000 population according to the WHO study



Excess deaths relative to expected deaths (the patterns indicate the quality of the all-cause mortality data that were available for each respective country





5. Daths from COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic in Azerbaijan
The COVID-19 pandemic in Azerbaijan was a part of the worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The virus was confirmed to have spread to Azerbaijan when its first case was confirmed in February 2020.mIn early June 2020, complete lockdowns were introduced in major cities, including the capital Baku, effective from June 5 to June 8.





Conclusions
Just as with confirmed cases, the number of deaths reported on a given day does not necessarily reflect the actual number of COVID-19 deaths on that day, or in the previous 24 hours. This is due to lags and delays in reporting.
Delays can occur for several reasons:

  • After a death certificate has been completed, inspection by post-mortem or laboratory testing may be required to verify the cause of death.

  • Death certificates are then either automatically or manually coded. It is often the case that COVID-19 deaths are always manually coded (e.g., this is the case in the USA).

  • There can be significant delays in this coding process, particularly when there is a large increase in the number of deaths (e.g., this averages 7 days in the US).

  • These figures are then collected in national registration statistics and reported to international sources.



References

  1. Sample, Ian (14 October 2020). "Covid-19: England and Wales among highest per capita death tolls". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 7 November 2020. Retrieved 8 November 2020.

  2. Kontis, Vasilis; Bennett, James E.; Rashid, Theo; Parks, Robbie M.; Pearson-Stuttard, Jonathan; Guillot, Michel; Asaria, Perviz; Zhou, Bin; Battaglini, Marco; Corsetti, Gianni; McKee, Martin; Di Cesare, Mariachiara; Mathers, Colin D.; Ezzati, Majid (14 October 2020). "Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries". Nature Medicine. 26 (12): 1919–1928. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1112-0. ISSN 1546-170X. PMC 7615092. PMID 33057181. S2CID 222838346.

  3. Campbell, Denis (10 March 2022). "Global Covid-19 death toll 'may be three times higher than official figures'". The Guardian. Retrieved 3 February 2023.

  4. Wang, Haidong; et al. (April 2022). "Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21". Lancet. 399 (10334): 1513–1536. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02796-3. PMC 8912932. PMID 35279232.

  5. News article about the study: Adam D (March 2022). "COVID's true death toll: much higher than official records". Nature. 603 (7902): 562. Bibcode:2022Natur.603..562A. doi:10.1038/d41586-022-00708-0. PMID 35277684. S2CID 247407282.

  6. "What 'Excess Deaths' Do and Don't Tell Us About COVID-19". Reason. 29 April 2020. Retrieved 4 May 2020.

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