© 1st Forex Trading Academy 2004
23
How to read and interpret
a weekly economic calendar
How to read and interpret a weekly economic calendar
In order to explain to you the importance of an economic calendar, let’s read a little scenario to
measure the impact of not using this great tool.
You’ve got
a successful trading session, but why are you losing?
You’ve done your homework.
Countless hours of seeking out the right guru (or piecing together your own system). Weeks of
monitoring your guru’s daily trade picks (or paper-trading and
back-testing your homemade
system).
You’ve done it by the book. No seat of the pants trading for you!
OK, now you’re confident. It’s time to put your money where your homework is. You’ve had your
coffee and your first trade signal is before you.
Confidence high. Trade made. First loss. Not a problem. You understood before you started that
successful traders both win and lose and “losing is part of the overall winning”. You’ve also heard
more then once that “successful traders don’t win on every trade.”
Moving on, still confident. Next trade made. Another loss, but this one
hurt your pride a little
because you got stopped out early in the trade, and then the market rebounded and would have hit
your profit target if you weren’t stopped out. You double check. Yep, you placed the stop where your
trading system told you to place it. You kind of had a feeling that the early weakness in the market
was just profit-taking from the previous day’s trading, but you’re trading a system and you must stick
to it. Wounded, but resilient.
After a good night’s sleep and a few mouse clicks, your new daily trades are in front of you. Hey, this
one looks good! It’s a little bit more risk than yesterday’s trades had, but look at that profit potential!
With a smiling face, the trade is executed. With a nice start to the trade, you’re feeling good and
you’ve moved your stop to breakeven, just like your system said.
Surprise piece of news – market reverses – blows through your stop – an “unexpected” loss. Is
something wrong with the system? Has the overall market “personality” changed, affecting your
system
to the Core, rendering all your back-testing irrelevant? Your confidence turns to doubt.
You decide to “watch” the next trade… I mean, isn’t it wise to make sure the system gets back on
track before you “throw good money after bad?” Isn’t that what a conservative trader does? Trade
watched. It wins! In your head, you beat yourself up a little because you know that when you started
your “live” trading, you made an agreement with yourself to take the first 10 trades “no matter
what”… and here you wimpled-out and missed a big winner that would have gotten you even.
What’s happening?!!
What’s happening is that you are out of control. Your emotions are ruling your trading.