Oanda corporation Revision 5


Probability of a Forecasted Transaction



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Forex Hedge Accounting Treatment

Probability of a Forecasted Transaction. Cash flow hedging has a specific requirement that a 


Forex Hedge Accounting Treatment  

OANDA’s FXConsulting 

 

for Corporations

   

31 


 

transaction must be highly probable or likely to occur. Probability requires a significantly greater 

likelihood of occurring than ―more likely than not‖. When assessing this requirement of probability

one should consider factors such as the following: 

 

1.  The frequency of similar historical transactions. 



2.  Your company’s financial ability to complete the transaction. 

3.  Your company’s operational ability to complete the transaction. 

4.  Your company’s commitment of resources for the foreign transactions (for example, 

manufacturing capacity, access to finished product components). 

5.  The financial impact if the transaction did not take place. 

6.  The length of time until a forecasted transaction is projected to take place and the amount of the 

forecasted transaction. The longer the time frame and the greater the amount, the less likely the 

transaction will occur. Consideration should also be given to the customer’s, suppliers’, or 

market’s ability to complete the forecasted transaction. 


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