really tough strategic questions that should have been asked were unwelcome.
Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed?
Have the consequences of our action been fully considered?
Do we have a clear and attainable objective?
The questions Powell posed before the first Iraq war, more relevant than
ever, were glossed over or not pursued. Powell himself contributed to the
drumbeat to war in a dramatic 2003 appearance before the United Nations.
“Leaving Saddam Hussein in possession of weapons of mass destruction for
a few more months or years is not an option,” Powell declared. “Not in a post–
September 11 world.”
As experience would later show, however, Saddam didn’t have weapons of
mass destruction. The intelligence was wrong. The administration hadn’t asked
the right questions of the right people. I asked Powell about the price he and
America paid for that failure. For the first time in our otherwise friendly
conversation, he bristled. The information he got was bad, he said. It had gone to
Congress four months before he went to the UN. Congress had seen the formal
National Intelligence Estimate, the comprehensive report prepared by the CIA,
and reached the same conclusions. Influential senators on both sides of the aisle
including John Kerry, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, and Jay Rockefeller, the
chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, all lined up behind the report.
The president cited it in his State of the Union speech. Vice President Dick
Cheney went on national television with it. Condoleezza Rice, the national
security adviser, referred to it when she told CNN that Saddam was closer to a
nuclear device than anybody thought. “We know that he has the infrastructure,
nuclear scientists to make a nuclear weapon,” Rice had said, adding ominously,
“but we don’t want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud.”
“They all said this is solid stuff and believed it,” Powell told me.
They were all wrong.
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