Trade Liberalization and Production Fragmentation in ASEAN
Production fragmentation is a prominent feature of cross-border economic activity in East
Asia. It is likely that multilateral and regional reductions in official trade barriers (tariffs,
quotas, etc.) encouraged the integration of ASEAN countries into the East Asian
production network. Other possible factors include innovation in technologies that
allowed the fragmentation of production; falling transportation and distribution costs; and
improvements in communications.
The logic of production sharing entails a rise in both trade of final goods and,
particularly, of parts and components between countries in a production network. Ng and
Yeats (1999) found that, just prior to the Asian Financial Crisis, trade in parts and
components accounted for about a fifth of East Asian manufacturing trade, having grown
much faster in the preceding decade than other product groups. In addition, East Asian
trade in parts and components was concentrated in just a few items, namely,
telecommunications equipment, office and adding machinery, switchgear parts, motor-
vehicle parts and accessories, and electronic components.
Ando (2006) computes that intra-ASEAN exports among four ASEAN countries
(Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand) as a share of world trade were 3.6%,
4.1%, and 7.5% in 1981, 1991, and 2001 respectively. In other words, controlling for
global export trends, ASEAN trade was increasingly intra-regional in the last two
decades of the 20
th
. century. Ando also computes the same shares of exports from China,
the NIEs (i.e., Taiwan, Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore) and Japan to the ASEAN-4.
She finds that these shares increased for China and the NIEs but fell for Japan. Therefore,
China and the NIEs became increasingly important as sources of ASEAN imports while
Japan became less important in the same period. The type of trade, in which ASEAN
countries engage, has also changed. Ando also shows that one-way trade has given way
mainly to vertical intra-industry trade.
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This is particularly true in the machinery,
transport equipment, and electronics sectors.
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In theory, how do PTAs affect trade when production fragmentation exists? In a 3-
country general-equilibrium model, Arndt (2004) shows that, unless the non-member
country has the lowest cost for every activity in the production chain, production sharing
between member countries reduces the trade-diverting elements of preferential trade
liberalization. This is because, with a finer division of the value chain, it is more likely
that member countries of the preferential trading arrangement have a comparative
advantage in some production activities. So, reduced tariffs, albeit just within the region,
creates trade in these activities rather than diverts it as member countries engage in a
finer specialization of activities along the value chain. Indeed, Athukorala and Yamashita
(2006) provide evidence that vertical trade was very responsive to the formation of
AFTA but not in other PTAs around the world. Although trade diversion may be less
likely in the context of fragmented production, PTAs may induce other negative effects.
Chen et al. (2004) show that tariff reductions in intermediate-goods markets may lead to
strategic outsourcing, and rival firms in final goods may be more inclined to collude and
increase import prices of both final and intermediate goods.
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