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researchers whom did on the same study as us. Nevertheless,
after testing on all the
variables, we would observe that data which extracted on monthly basis was not
enough to generate the accurate and reliable result. Therefore, this inaccurate monthly
data set would cause the result to be inefficient. And the range of the data is from
2007 to 2012, this range is quite small to show the long term impact
of these variables
to the banking stock return.
This study, selects 4 macroeconomic factors to test the impact of
macroeconomic factors to banking industry stock return. But there are a lot of other
macroeconomic factors can be use, like GDP, IP and so on.
And also can choose other
plates in stock market to do the test.
While, another limitation is matter with the econometric model that
employed in the test namely Generalized Least Square (GLS) model. When get the
empirical result, may be it will have some problem open. And the model is
simplification, if by employing other advance model, for
example Generalized Auto
Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, the result would be act
in different way.
Though what recommended by most of previous researchers were same as
what we are used in our study. There may be still a problem that the macroeconomic
indicators used in this study may not be sufficient to generate for better result.
5.3 Recommendations and Future Research
In order to make a more
precise and exact research, it is a need to improve and
overcome those constraints. Since there are three major limitations stated on the
above sections, hence, we would suggest the solutions for each of them.
To overcome the data constraint, we may be get a try
on using the data series
extracted on daily basis. As some of the researchers found that, the result has shown
more exact by using daily data on carry out the relevant empirical studies.
For the factors constraint, future research may be done by adding more
macroeconomic variables, such as Gross Domestic Productions (GDP)
or Foreign
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Direct Investment (FDI), in order to test on the impact of each of them of banking
stock return. The additional variables that expected to use should be more relevant to
the study and be supported by related supporting materials.
To improving the empirical result, it is better to apply Generalized Auto
Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH)
model rather than Genelized
Least Square (GLS), as this economic model is more advance in addressing and
solving for econometric problems, such as heteroscedasticity. Previous research
(Bollerslev, 1986, 1990; Muneer et. al, 2011) were found that the Generalized Auto
Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH)
model is sustainable in
capturing assets returns and volatility by allowing the means of assets return to be
depends on their time-varying variance together with other contributory factors.
Other than these, future researchers may try to extend the study on other
industry sectors in the Chinese stock market.
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