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Not only has 2013 emerged with the
Syrian crisis making waves as far off
as Moscow, Washington and Beijing,
but conversely it has also heralded
the election of presidents by three of
the states in the South Caucuses.
Armenia which is considered to be
a mono-ethnic society witnessed a
repeat victory by Serge Sargsyan on
the 18th February 2013. The event
however has been followed by an
intense and critical inter-Armenian
debate as regards the necessity of
a future change in the leadership.
We observed an interesting mixture
of comments and appeals aimed at
forming a new foreign policy agenda,
finding young leaders from the new
generation and fresh ideas in relation
to the Karabakh conflict settlement
1
.
However, if Armenia does not con-
sider a role for its ethnic minorities in
domestic politics, this is not the case
with Azerbaijan and Georgia. On the
eve of Presidential elections in Geor-
gia, the head of the Russian Federa-
tion’s Daghestan region, Ramazan
Abdulatipov openly supported Ilham
1
Richard Giragosyan: Vskori EC pred-
lozhit Armenii noviy document sotrudnich-
estva iz 7 punktov/ Marianna Mkrtchyan
ArmInfo/ Yerkramas. 05 oktyabrya 2013,
[online]. Available at:
http://www.yerkra-
mas.org/2013/10/05/richard-kirakosyan-
vskore-es-predlozhit-armenii-novyj-doku-
ment-sotrudnichestva-iz-7-punktov/
Aliyev as a candidate by requesting
all the Daghestanis residing in Azer-
baijan to give Aliyev their votes.
The involvement of the head of a
Russian region in Azerbaijan’s do-
mestic affairs seems to be a positive
one. On the one hand, Abdulati-
pov has stressed the importance of
friendly relations and cooperation
between the neighboring territories
of Azerbaijan and Daghestan. He is
especially interested in maintaining
a calm border along with stability in
Daghestan’s inter-ethnic relations.
Abdulatipov is a politician with many
years of experience behind him and
is sincere in striving to move Rus-
sian-Azerbaijanian relations forward.
On the other hand, we see a political
gesture in Abdulatipov’s statement.
There is both pressure as well as
an invitation for Baku to consider-
ably improve living standards and
political participation amongst the
Daghestanis in Azerbaijan. Rus-
lan Ghireyev, director of the North
Caucasus Islamic Studies Center
notes that the issue of indigenous
peoples and that of ethnicity remains
the main problem in contemporary
Azerbaijan and one which requires
a resolution. According to Ghireyev,
the Daghestan factor is a significant
issue in Azerbaijan’s domestic af-
fairs where the Avars, Lezghines,
Tsakhurs, Rutuls amongst others will
have to carve out their own ethnic-
The Role of Ethnic Minorities in the Domestic Politics of
the South Caucuses
by Alexander Kornilov
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Wise Men Center for Strategic Studies (BILGESAM)
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political position
2
. In the context of Abdulatipov’s state-
ment, it means taking far-reaching decisions on Baku in
relation to the Daghestani people within the country. Is
this not a proposal towards some kind of federalization in
Azerbaijan? Also, whatever Abdulatipov said concerning
relations between the neighboring territories, he remains
an influential member of the Russian political elite and
continues to play a direct role in President Putin’s hier-
archy of power. This means that Abdulatipov feels that
he has strong backing from Moscow when he talks of the
development in Daghestan-Azerbaijan relations.
The Armenian diaspora in Georgia has mixed thoughts
and feelings on the question of whom to vote for in the
coming Presidential elections. Experts and commenta-
tors, primarily the Armenian ones, still weigh the pros
and cons as well as the benefits and disadvantages.
Three Presidential candidates opened their offices in
the Javakhk, Georgian region which is predominantly
populated by the Armenians. Giorgi Margvelashvili of
the Georgian Dream, Nino Burjanadze of the Democratic
Movement and David Bakradze of the United National
Movement have considered
holding regular meetings
with the Armenian voters. Deputy Feodor Torosyan of
the Akhalkalaki district assembly shared his estimates
with reporters and said that David Bakradze had gained a
considerable support amongst the Armenians. According
to Torosyan, Bakradze listened to the residents of Ja-
vakhk and promised to do as much as he could. However,
Torosyan pointed out that the election campaign was con-
centrated in large cities like Tbilisi and Kutaisi
3
.
Jonnie Melikyan, a political scientist, founder and head
of Center for Political and Legal Studies,
who is con-
sidered to be an expert on Georgia is confident that the
Armenians will vote differently in the coming elections.
There are some divisions within the Armenian com-
munity, and Melikyan has stressed that the Armenians
of Adjara are inclined to support the United National
Movement due to reforms enunciated by the Saakashvili
Administration. There is the discovery of a different
picture in Javakhk. One section of the Armenians has
2
Ruslan Ghereyev: Abdulatipov podcherknul znacheniye
daghestanskogo factora na viborakh v Azerbaijane/ IA Reg-
num. 04.10.2013 [online]. Available at:
www.regnum.ru/news/
polit/1715654.html
3 “O problemah ghruzinskih armyan poka chto vyskazalsya
tol’ko David Bakradze, no yego ne izberut”/ Yerkramas. 04
octyabrya 2013. [online]. Available at:
http://www.yerkramas.
org/2013/10/04/o-problemax-gruzinskix-armyan-poka-chto-vys-
kazalsya-tolko-david-bakradze-no-ego-ne-izberut/
not been disappointed by the decisions of the new Geor-
gian government and has remained a loyal supporter of
the Georgian Dream. The other section of the Javakheti
Armenians has maintained economic relations and to
some extent its dependence on Russia and will vote for
Nino Burjanadze
4
. While discussing all the pre-election
expectations and prognosis, we can also take into account
a new trend in Georgian politics which promises a tran-
sition from an extreme form of presidential power to a
more moderate Parliamentary democratic regime.
The Georgian Parliament has discussed a new draft of
the Law for the Defense of the State’s Language. The
Council of the Armenian civic institutions in Javakhk
and Kvemo Kartli have written a letter to the Georgian
government expressing their despair. The Armenians
perceive a real threat to their language from the law be-
ing passed by the Parliament. The experts affiliated to
the Armenian community have urged the Georgian min-
isters and the Parliament to pass a law that recognizes
the Armenian as a regional language
5
. In the mind of Ar-
menians, Georgia as a member of the Council of Europe
must agree with the European Charter for Regional or
Minority languages (1992) which was adopted in Stras-
bourg. In doing so, the country will become more demo-
cratic and safer in the face of ethnic conflicts.
The next minority issue which stands out is the one in-
volving Moslem groups residing in Georgia. Moslems
although constituting more than 10% of the country’s
population, nevertheless, face a situation of ethnic exclu-
sion as well as other forms of discrimination including a
nominal presence in domestic politics. This is what some
participants of the School of imams at my local Nizhniy
Novgorod State University have told me about. As is
well known, the Georgian Orthodox Church remains to
be the most influential force of the Georgian society
6
. It
4
Ekspert: Armayanskaya obshchina Groozii na presidentskih vy-
borah progolosuyet za kandidata “Groozinskoy mechty”/ Arminfo/
Yerkramas. 08 oktyabrya 2013 [online]. Available at:
http://www.
yerkramas.org/2013/10/08/ekspert-armyanskaya-obshhina-gruzii-
na-prezidentskix-vyborax-progolosuet-za-kandidata-gruzinskoj-
mechty/
5
Prinyatiye zakona o zaschite gosudarstvennogo yazyka v Ghruzii
sozdast serioznyie trudnosti dlya armyan Javahka. Commentariy
expert/ Panorama.am/ Yerkramas. 08 oktyabrya 2013. [online].
Available at :
http://www.yerkramas.org/2013/10/08/prinyatie-
zakona-o-zashhite-gosudarstvennogo-yazyka-v-gruzii-sozdast-
sereznye-trudnosti-dlya-armyan-dzhavaxka-kommentarij-eksperta/
6
Aleksander Rusetskiy: Putinskaya politika po soidaniyu SSSR-2
– geopoliticheskiy sadomazochizm. Interview directora Kauca-
zscogo insituta regional’noy bezopasnosti Aleksandra Rusetskogo
informagentstvu ArmInfo. David Stepanyan ArmInfo/ Yerkramas.
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has an impact on the political decisions taken in Tbilisi.
Moreover, the Church represents the majority of the
country’s population, reflecting the ideas and spiritual
values which this majority continues to share despite the
intentional attempts of some European organizations to
promote so-called post-Christian principles in Georgia.
The Church, in other words, can be claimed to be one of
the guarantors of Georgian sovereignty, territorial integ-
rity and independence. In relation to territorial integrity,
let us remember that while Russia as a state recognized
the independence of Abkhazia and Southern Ossetia, the
Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Cyril and his Synod
refused to do so in relation to the Orthodox communities
of these two territories. We assume that the Tbilisi lead-
ership’s intention to preserve a Georgian identity based
on Christian Orthodox values has paradoxically served as
a leverage to stop the development of Moslem communi-
ties. For example, before he became President, Mikhail
Saakashvili served as Chairman of the Parliamentary
committee which promised to ratify the 1992 European
Charter relating to minorities rights and regional lan-
guages. However, after his election to the Presidential
post, Saakashvili did not keep his promises, a situation
which has yet to be explained. In relation to the paradox-
es, we say that the political elite in Georgia has exploited
all the means available to it in order to defend the state’s
sovereignty and independence. However, by drawing
upon the Christian Orthodox aspect, the elite has refused
to take the rights of Moslems and Armenians into serious
consideration.
Whoever becomes the next President of Georgia, he or
she will strive to cooperate with ethnic and religious mi-
norities as a European integration process imposes a set
of requirements which must be met. Moreover, the fur-
ther Georgia will move towards Europe, the more it will
become liberal and inclusive towards its minorities and
their rights. As a result, its traditional values and way of
life will change and transform it from a strong Christian
based Georgian identity to more European one. This sce-
nario would be a risky development for Georgia, both as
a nation-state and a Christian based society.
Russia is not an exclusion to the rule. With the Caucasus
regions rich in culture, Russia has historically overcome
barriers of inter-ethnic and inter-religious relations. Mil-
lions of migrants have come to and have resided in the
04 October 2013 [online]. Available at:
http://www.yerkramas.
org/2013/10/04/aleksandr-ruseckij-putinskaya-politika-po-sozdani-
yu-sssr-2-geopoliticheskij-sadomazoxizm/
country. Different cultures, traditions and customs of the
Caucasus countryside have been brought onto Russian
soil. Despite this, Russia still lacks a well-formulated and
thought out ethnic policy. It was only in 2012 when then
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin made the first attempt
to formulate a clear understanding of national identity
for the Russian citizens. The second successful step has
been made in the 2013 Valdai Discussion Club meeting –
which I have addressed in detail in my previous BILGE-
SAM analysis – by President Putin,
The political power of the Russian Federation has started
to move forward in order to solve inter-ethnic issues.
Events have shown however, that there remains a big gap
between having good intentions and decision making by
the Kremlin in respect to the appropriate actions con-
ducted by the police and the administration of justice for
Russian citizens. The protests which ignited on the 12
th
October in Moscow’s Biryulovo are reflective of deep so-
cial and inter-ethnic tensions. The lack of vision and ef-
fective action by Biryulevo district, a weak management
of immigration policy and corruption have brought anger
onto the streets by local residents as well as wild distur-
bances organized with the help of radical groups in the
Russian capital. According to the Russian news agency,
t
he protests in Biryulyovo were apparently triggered by
the fatal stabbing of Yegor Shcherbakov, 25, who police
said was walking home with his girlfriend when he was
killed. Police have said the murderer was “not a Russian
citizen” and released CCTV footage of a suspect. In re-
cent years Russia has seen a series of violent protests in
reaction to crimes allegedly committed by people from
ethnic minorities. Such protests, often aimed at people
from the Caucasus region, are motivated by what the
protestors perceive as the authorities’ inability, or unwill-
ingness, to hold the perpetrators to account
7
.
The role of ethnic and religious minorities has long be-
come a sustained factor in the domestic and foreign poli-
cies of the states in the South Caucasus and beyond. The
trend of transforming the minorities into an instrument
of policy has posed a threat to the territorial integrity of
these contemporary states. That is why power sharing,
a constructive political opposition as well as respect for
minority rights remains extremely important for main-
taining stability and security.
7
380 Held Overnight After Anti-Migrant Riot in Moscow Suburb.
14/10/2013/ RIANOVOSI [online]. Available at:
http://en.ria.ru/
russia/20131014/184131781/380-Held-Overnight-After-Anti-
Migrant-Riot-in-Moscow-Suburb.html
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About BILGESAM
Established in 2008, the Wise Men Center for Strate-
gic Studies (BILGESAM) is one of the leading think
tanks in Turkey. As a non-profit, non-partisan orga-
nization BILGESAM operates under the guidance of
a group of well-respected academics from different
disciplines, retired military generals and diplomats;
and aims to contribute regional and global peace
and prosperity. Closely following the domestic and
international developments, BILGESAM conducts
research on Turkey’s domestic problems, foreign
policy and security strategies, and the developments
in the neighbouring regions to provide the Turkish
decision-makers with practical policy recommenda-
tions and policy options.
About Author
Alexander Kornilov is Professor of international
relations and head of regional studies department at
Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod.
He has published numerous articles on international
relations and foreign policies of Middle Eastern and
Transcaucasian countries.
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