89
A
MERICAN Journal of Public Diplomacy and International Studies
www.
grnjournal.us
which the company cannot sell the entire volume of manufactured products, underestimation of
competitors in the product market, erroneous pricing policy, etc.
external risks (the factors are: competition, the degree of novelty of the product, changes
in consumer preferences (new trends). You can predict their occurrence, prepare for them to
minimize the negative ones, but it is impossible to somehow prevent their occurrence)
12.
and they
arise in the external environment of the subject, among these risks are:
political - related to the political situation in the country and
the activities of public
authorities (revolution, military operations, nationalization of private property, confiscation of
property, etc.);
legislative - changes in existing norms with the release of new laws and regulations, for
example, worsening the situation of the company (introduction
of new taxes, abolition of tax
incentives, increase in tax rates, etc.);
natural - associated with possible natural disasters and environmental pollution (floods,
fires, earthquakes, etc.);
regional - due to the state of individual regions, their legislation, etc.;
sectoral - depend on the trends in the development of the industry;
macroeconomic - due to the development of economic processes in the country and in
the world as a whole. In turn, macroeconomic risks include inflationary (deflationary), currency,
interest rate and structural risks.
The basis for the following classification of risks is also the nature of the impact on the
performance of economic entities. So, the risks can be:
net (meaning the possibility of a loss or a zero result);
speculative (expressed in the probability of getting both a positive and a negative result);
neutral (which do not affect the expected result).
It is also generally accepted to classify risks according to the nature (factor) of occurrence,
while the following groups are distinguished: political risks, natural (environmental), economic,
transport, production.
Another
approach is interesting, which speaks about the risks of
financing, in particular
project financing, dividing them into risks that pose a threat to the economic efficiency of the
project, and credit risks that are associated with the possibility of improper settlement of
obligations to repay the loan and interest [18].
There is also another approach to risk classification that is more commonly used. In
particular, one of the most famous publications in this field is the yearbook on most countries of
the world in seven volumes called "Political Risk Year-book", published
by the American firm
"International Business Company USA (Publications) INC.", assesses the following risks: ,
financial transfers, exports, direct investment.
Moreover, risks (groups of risks) are assessed on a 12-point system (from “A +” - the best
assessment, to “D-” - the worst assessment), and the overall assessment is not displayed. The
American firms Business Enviroment Risk Intelligence, International Reports,
and the German
firm BERI give both individual and aggregate risk, scoring them on a 100-point scale (100 is the
best estimate).
The following three groups are distinguished:
political risks (including some social ones);
financial risks, which mainly determine the solvency of the country in terms of
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