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T A R A N A K I F A C T S A N D F I G U R E S SUMMER
2016-2017 TGM CREA
TIVE J001110 Taranaki’s Regional Development Agency
9 Robe Street | PO Box 670 | New Plymouth P. (06) 759 5150 E. info@taranaki.info
www.taranaki.info An initiative of
P A G E 2 9 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7
As Taranaki’s Regional Development Agency, Venture Taranaki is committed to helping Taranaki grow. That’s why we’re interested in helping to make your business a success. If you need advice and assistance or access to information and knowledge to support your business aspiration, we offer a single point of contact to provide the help you require. If you are: • Thinking of starting up a business • Considering relocating or investing in Taranaki • Trying to grow your business, or if your business is going through changes We have a range of products and services to meet your business needs, and best of all, most of them are free! Information is available on-line at www.business.taranaki.info or call us: Venture Taranaki 9 Robe Street PO Box 670 New Plymouth Telephone (06) 759 5150 Email: info@taranaki.info Facebook: TaranakiNZ Twitter: @Taranaki_NZ Web: www.taranaki.info An initiative of
Disclaimer: Venture Taranaki’s services and opinions are of a general nature and should be used as a guide only. They are not a substitute for commercial judgment or independent professional advice which should be obtained prior to any business matter. While every effort has been made to ensure that the information, opinions and forecasts provided are accurate and reliable, Venture Taranaki shall not be liable for any adverse consequences of decisions made in reliance of any report provided in this publication.
WELCOME TO TARANAKI TRENDS SUMMER 2016-2017 In an economic landscape where our core industries are under price pressure from global forces, the move to diversify our region’s income streams becomes increasingly important. Momentum continues in many of the industries that perhaps get less attention than energy and dairying, and this edition of Taranaki Trends takes a closer look at two of them – manufacturing and tourism. The broader manufacturing sector contributes $888 million to Taranaki’s GDP – 11 percent of the regional total – and results in 8,619 jobs. Dairy manufacturing contributes more than 20 percent of these positions, as does combined metal, machinery and engineering. However meat, poultry and timber processing, fertiliser and bread manufacturing are also significant contributors. Tourism has been a strong performer over recent months, with the sector further helping Taranaki manage the impacts of global commodity fluctuations. Regional visitor guest nights grew 8.5 percent year-on-year to the end of June, which compares to nationwide growth of 5.8 percent – a figure being hailed a success story. Furthermore, the number of nights spent in the region by international visitors grew 20.3 percent, while average length of stay rose from 2.04 to 2.16 nights. Importantly, tourism supports many other sectors, directly through visitor spend, and indirectly through building regional profile, awareness and perceptions, which can in turn influence supply and purchase decisions and migration growth towards the region’s population target of 135,000 residents by 2035. While the main benefits may prove economic, that sense of regional pride we experience in showcasing our province and its numerous attractions are immeasurable, and important. Dr Anne Probert General Manager, Economy & Sector Development Venture Taranaki Summer Edition 2016 - 2017: This edition of Taranaki Trends is published in October 2016 and remains current until April 2017 • Cover Photo: John Crawford / Howard Wright P A G E 1 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Economic Summary NATURAL INCREASE IN POPULATION
(BIRTHS LESS DEATHS) FOR YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016
compared to previous 12 months. NET MIGRATION GAIN FROM
MORE PEOPLE ARRIVING AND PERMANENTLY LOCATING
IN TARANAKI FROM OVERSEAS THAN INTERNATIONAL
DEPARTURES YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016
Compared to previous 12 months. DEATHS FOR THE YEAR ENDING
JUNE 2016 Compared to previous 12 months. VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION
CONSENTS FOR YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016
Compared to previous 12 months. AVERAGE HOUSE VALUATIONS FOR
JUNE 2016 RELATIVE TO JUNE 2015
in the New Plymouth, Stratford and South Taranaki Districts. HOME AFFORDABILITY WITHIN
relative to same period 12 months prior. AVERAGE WEEKLY RENTALS IN
NEW PLYMOUTH (MAY 2016)
relative to same time 12 months ago. RETAIL SALES FOR THE SIX
MONTHS ENDING JUNE 2016
relative to the same period in 2015. NUMBER OF GUEST NIGHTS
BY VISITORS STAYING IN COMMERCIAL ACCOMMODATION
OUTLETS WITHIN TARANAKI FOR YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016
Compared to previous 12 months. BIRTHS IN THE REGION FOR THE
YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016 Compared to previous 12 months. TARANAKI’S UNEMPLOYMENT
RATE
in June quarter compared with same period 2015. NUMBER OF DAIRY CATTLE IN
TARANAKI FOR YEAR ENDING 2015
relative to previous 12 month period. ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE
– FEWER TARANAKI BUSINESS RESPONDENTS ANTICIPATE
IMPROVED ECONOMIC TRADING CONDITIONS IN THE COMING
12 MONTHS The majority anticipate continuation of status quo. P A G E 2 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Gross Domestic Product NEW ZEALAND’S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) FOR THE YEAR ENDING JUNE 2016 WAS CIRCA $227 BILLION. ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, AS MEASURED BY GDP, INCREASED 0.9 PERCENT IN THE JUNE 2016 QUARTER. 1.6
1.4 1.2
1.0 0.8
0.6 0.4
0.2 0.0
-0.2 -0.4
-0.6 Jun-10 Sep Dec Mar Jun-11 Sep Dec Mar Jun-12 Sep Dec Mar Jun-13 Sep Dec Mar Jun-14 Sep Dec Mar Jun-15 Sep Dec Mar Jun-16
P A G E 3 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 SHARE OF THE ECONOMY Key industry groupings within the GDP analysis include: THE SERVICES GROUPING COMPRISES THE LARGEST SHARE OF GDP, HOWEVER THE GOODS PRODUCING GROUPING CONTRIBUTED THE MOST TO QUARTERLY GROWTH. THE LARGEST INCREASE IN THE JUNE QUARTERLY RESULT WAS IN CONSTRUCTION, WHICH WAS UP 5.0 PERCENT. MINING DECREASED 2.5 PERCENT DURING THIS PERIOD DUE TO LOWER PRODUCTION IN OIL AND GAS AND ALSO COAL. PRIMARY Including e.g. agriculture, oil, gas and mining GOODS PRODUCING Including e.g. manufacturing, construction, electricity and water
Including e.g. retail, wholesale trade, finance, education and health
2 1.8 1.6 1.4
1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4
0.2 0 Primary Goods producing Services
0.5 1.9
0.9 P A G E 4 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 -7.3
12,000
10,000 8,000
6,000 4,000
2,000 0 50.0 40.0 30.0
20.0 10.0
0 -10.0
-20.0 -30.0
-40.0 3.7
7.2 30.6
2.8 12.6
10.2 30.3
36.9 10.2
-13.1 -8.5
7.0 7.3 -5.6
8.9 -3.0
0.7 -40.1
5.6 Milk powder , butter , and cheese Meat and edible of fal
Logs, wood, and wood articles Fruit
Mechanical machinery and equipment Fish, crustaceans, and molluscs W ine
Miscellaneous edible pr eparations Pr eparations of cer eals, flour , and star ch Electrical machinery and equipment Casein and caseinates Aluminum and aluminum articles Optical, medical, and measuring equipment Pr ecious metals, jewellery , and coins W ool W ood pulp and waste paper Iron and steel, and articles Textiles and textile articles Crude oil Plastic and plastic articles P A G E 5 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 CPI JUNE 2016 QUARTER 0.4% ANNUAL CHANGE 0.4% CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) – NEW ZEALAND INCREASES OCCURRED IN PETROL PRICES (UP 5.3%) AND HOUSING-RELATED COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PURCHASE OF NEW HOUSING EXCLUDING LAND (UP 2.1%) QUARTERLY CHANGE IN CPI JUNE 2016 QUARTER Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
Sep Dec
Mar Jun
2008 2009
2010 2011
2012 2013
2014 2015
2016 2.5
2.0 1.5
1.0 0.5
0.0 -0.5
-1.0 P A G E 6 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Taranaki – Key statistics at a glance MANAWATU- WHANGANUI
NEW ZEALAND 38.0 YEARS
TARANAKI 39.9
YEARS
MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION 5.3 POPULATION GROWTH (2006 - 2013) % 15,153 BUSINESSES IN TARANAKI UP 1 % NUMBER OF BUSINESSES 2.6% TARANAKI % OF NEW ZEALAND'S POPULATION NEW ZEALAND'S TOTAL POPULATION 3.6 OF NEW ZEALAND'S GDP % P A G E 7 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 % POPULATION AGED 65 YEARS AND OVER: 16.2 TARANAKI % 14.3 NEW ZEALAND % NEW ZEALAND 20.4% TARANAKI 21.1% % POPULATION AGED UNDER 15 YEARS ETHNIC COMPOSITION %
Taranaki New Zealand 86.2%
74% 17.4%
14.9% 7.4%
1.6% 3.4%
11.8% 0.4%1.2%
4.0% 2.3%
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 European Maori Pacific Peoples Asian Other Ethnicity Middle Eastern, Latin American, African
P A G E 8 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Taranaki Economic Outlook June 2016 Business Survey Findings 1,400 TARANAKI BUSINESSES WERE SURVEYED IN JUNE 2016 REGARDING THE STATE OF THE NEW ZEALAND ECONOMY AND TRADING CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 12 MONTHS. 23% ANTICIPATED IMPROVEMENT (DOWN FROM 28%) 60% ANTICIPATED THE STATUS QUO WILL PREVAIL (UP FROM 54%) 15% PREDICTED DETERIORATION (DOWN FROM 16%) 2% WERE UNSURE NZ BUSINESS CONDITIONS - NEXT 12 MONTHS Unsure Improve Deterioriate 70%
60% 50%
40% 30%
20% 10%
0% May-07 Nov-07 May-08 Nov-08 May-09 Dec-09 May-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 P A G E 9 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Labour Force JUNE QUARTER 2016 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE TARANAKI 4.8% NEW ZEALAND 5.1% QUARTERLY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE New Zealand Taranaki
Up to 4.0 4.1 tp 5.0 5.1 to 6.0 6.1 and over *pp = percentage points NORTH ISLAND 5.2% (DOWN 0.7 PP) SOUTH ISLAND 4.1% (UP 0.5 PP) MANAWATU-WANGANUI 5.6% (DOWN 0.9 PP) Per
cent 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr -14 Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr -15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr -16 Jun-16
P A G E 1 0 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Incomes in Taranaki TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME (% BY INCOME BRACKET) - TARANAKI V NZ TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME $ THE FOLLOWING TABLES OF PERSONAL AND HOUSEHOLD INCOME COLLECTED VIA THE 2013 CENSUS, ARE INCLUSIVE OF ALL FORMS OF INCOME. TOTAL INCOME INCLUDES WAGES, VARIOUS FORMS OF BENEFITS SUCH AS UNEMPLOYMENT, DOMESTIC PURPOSE, SUPERANNUATION, ACC, AS WELL AS COMMISSIONS, BONUSES, DIVIDENDS, INCOMES FROM RENT, INTEREST AND OTHER INVESTMENTS, AND INCLUDES REPORTING 'NO INCOME' FOR THE YEAR ENDING 31ST MARCH 2013. New Zealand Taranaki
90,000
80,000 70,000
60,000 50,000
40,000 30,000
20,000 10,000
0 Northland Region Auckland Region W aikato Region Bay Of Plenty Region Gisbor
ne Region Hawke's Bay Region Taranaki Region Manawatu-W anganui Region W ellington Region Tasman Region Nelson Region Marlbor ough Region W est-Coast Region Canterbury Region Otago Regaion Southland Region 46,900
76,500 59,600
54,600 50,500
53,200 50,000
58,400 74,300
53,500 54,300
55,200 55,000
65,000 56,400
57,400 12.0
10.0 8.0
6.0 4.0
2.0 0.0
Loss Zer
o income$1-$5,000 $5,001-$10,000 $10,001-$15,000 $15,001-$20,000 $20,001-$25,000 $25,001-$30,000 $30,001-$35,000 $35,001-$40,000 $40,001-$50,000 $50,001-$60,000 $60,001-$70,000 $70,001-$100,000 $100,001-$150,000 $150,001 or Mor e
P A G E 1 1 T A R A N A K I T R E N D S S U M M E R 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 1 7 Natural Population Increase THE NATURAL POPULATION INCREASE OF 465 PEOPLE THAT OCCURRED IN TARANAKI DURING 2016 WAS DUE TO THE NUMBER OF BIRTHS EXCEEDING THE NUMBER OF DEATHS. HOWEVER GROWTH IN THE NUMBER OF BIRTHS HAS DECLINED AND DEATHS HAS INCREASED RELATIVE TO SAME PERIOD IN 2015. THERE WERE 1,497 BIRTHS IN TARANAKI DURING 2016 AND 1,032 DEATHS, RESULTING IN A NATURAL POPULATION INCREASE OF 465 PEOPLE. AN NU AL C HA NG E IN B IR TH S 20 15 -20 16 ( JUNE) TARANAKI -6.6 % NEW ZEALAND -1.0 % NEW ZEALAND -0.6 % ANN UA L C HA NG E I Yüklə 257,05 Kb. Dostları ilə paylaş:
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