The way forward for fibre regulation
Investment Incentives
There are a number of factors underlying decisions to invest in the communications sector and
investors that have different strategies and time horizons. These differences are evident in the investment
strategies followed by incumbents across the OECD both in regard to network investment (fibre to the
home, fibre–to–the–curb, VDSL, etc.) as well as in NGN core network investment. From the policy
perspective there are two important and interlinked factors that may influence investment: the state of
competition in the market and the regulatory framework (including perspectives on how this framework is
expected to evolve).
In recent years several incumbent telecommunication operators having tried to forge a direct link
between regulation and investment, in particular with respect to protecting investment in fibre networks,
ensuring that these would not be subject to open access conditions. Some countries have supported this
position, considering that the way forward is thorough the roll–out of high speed networks and platform
competition. In other countries LLU has been used as a phased approach to meet the same objectives.
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In general, incumbents need to invest in upgrading their existing networks in order to maintain their
client base and to regenerate revenue growth. Under present market conditions they are already losing a
large number of clients. For example, with the development of VoIP services the main revenue base of
incumbents is being whittled away. Although experiences differ by country, competition is building up in
broadband markets through the upgrading of CATV networks, through investment by new entrants in
infrastructure. Competition from high speed wireless networks may also eventually impact on the client
and revenue base of incumbents. Next generation access networks will provide the means for incumbents
to compete effectively with new entrants and provide a range of value-added services allowing for new
revenue opportunities. At the same time next generation access networks allow for significant cost savings
(maintenance, etc.) which, when supplemented by new revenue sources, will be important for revitalising
the profitability of incumbent operators. Thus appropriate regulations which help create competition do not
necessarily affect the incentive of incumbents to invest. The impact of increased competition, as well,
helps to stimulate the rapid take up of new services and thus, even with lower prices, tends to provide a
quicker return on investment.
DSTI/ICCP/CISP(2007)2/FINAL
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